2008 – A Good Year For Conservatives

On the surface, it may not seem like it, but 2008 will actually be a good year for Conservatives. With the presidential race coming down to John McCain on the Republican side and either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama for the Democrats, it hardly seems so, but the Garnet Intelligence Estimate (not to be confused with the National Intelligence Estimate), suggests otherwise.

Like a baseball team that’s pinned it’s hopes on free agents instead of growing talent, the GOP and, more pointedly, Conservatives have invested far too much in over-priced has beens (1, 2, 3, 4). The result will be either a McCain Presidency or a Democratic one. Neither is ideal, but either can lead to a much need resurgence – a rebirth even – of the kind of Washington-rocking revolution last seen 14 years ago.

If John McCain (RINO-AZ) is elected, his expected betrayal of Republican and Conservative values will (1) make him a pawn of the Democrat-controlled Congress, (2) taint the Republican Party and, by unfortunate association, Conservatives, and (3) may make him a one-term President. After the mid-terms of 2010 put the Dems even more solidly in control of Congress, the Conservative movement will begin to generate. By 2012, McCain will be marginalized by his own temperment, ineptitude and concessions to the Left. The Democrats will howl and bitch, but won’t put up a viable candidate against him. Why? He ensures their hold on Congress. That’s all they care about.

Republican Party opposition to the seated President will be intense and true Conservatives will come forth as the only hope the GOP has. Watch this year’s Republican Convention to see who they might be. There may even be some unexpected names and faces in the mix.

Hillary Clinton is a given for Conservatives. As bad as Bill was for a Democratic Congress, Hillary will be worse. She may not shtup an intern, but her mistakes and outrageous policies (and the certain charlatans she’ll bring to the Administration) , will turn the country to the right – hard.

As for a second term, the GIE considers that a long-shot. By then, the country will have had it’s fill of the Clintons, their shenanigans and corruption. To salvage Congress, the Party will do to her what they should have done to Bill and undercut her. They’ll sacrifice her, and Barack Obama will succeed her.

Obama, of them all, will be a bit more problematic. Whether he is elected in 2008 or 2012, he will have baggage of his own and the people he consults or brings into the administration could seriously damage him. The mid-terms won’t have the effect on Obama that they would with Clinton or McCain, but the 2012 (or 2014) Congressional races will prove to be very difficult for his party. He could win re-election, but he’ll work with a much larger Republican contingent in Congress – possibly even a GOP majority.

What these scenarios do is expose the more liberal ideologues in the light of public discourse and governance. Illegal immigration and taxes will rise, Iraq will stalemate, social security will be no less solvent, health care won’t be solved and race relations will continue to be prickly. Beginning with John McCain’s nomination this year, Conservatives – with high wattage help – will regroup, rethink, reconfigure and react. A solid state of candidates will be developed and those with the credentials and strategy will emerge to reclaim.

2008 will be a good year for Conservatives because it’s the year they quit being stupid and start working on building a competitive team.